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NBA draft could be about who has a chance, or who can give the Heat the best chance – The Mercury News

Based on the Miami Heat’s off-season needs checklist, shooting isn’t a good fit for a team that ended the regular season with a league-leading .379 three-point percentage.

Then came the playoffs when only three of the 16 playoff teams were worse than the .313 Hit from beyond the arc.

Now, with the possibility of Duncan Robinson’s contract being included in the off-season, it’s an important aspect as the Heat prepare for the NBA draft on Thursday at the Barclays Center.

What makes it even more challenging is that many of the options in slot #27 Hit in the first round are listed as good prospects, with the exception of their shooting.

And for every Kawhi Leonard who has gone from 25% three-point shooting in San Diego State to his 38.4% career shooting percentage in the NBA, most of those who couldn’t shoot in college rarely make it back to the NBA.

This forced Adam Simon, the Heat’s vice president of basketball, and his team of scouts to examine the progress of potential draft additions as well as their college record.

“That’s not always the case,” Simon said of players like Leonard, who hit .443 in one season with the Spurs after hitting .205 in one season with San Diego State. “So it’s very difficult to discuss, even among us, in our own room, saying, ‘Well, we think he can be a better shot.’

“It’s very difficult for guys to go from below average shooters to very good shooters.”

While Robinson and Max Strus have brought this element to the Heat in recent seasons, it has come weighing such contributions against certain flaws in their games.

In this year’s draft, the Heat may have to weigh opposite, all-round plays that lack quality shooting percentage from prospects in the No. 27 range like Jayden Hardy, Marjohn Beauchamp, Trevor Keels and Blake Wesley.

“Everyone can improve by developing their technique and reps,” Simon said. “But I think there are guys who are born to shoot, by which they are identified. The guy who can’t shoot, I guess it’s not that easy.

“But I think that’s why you go to these practices and these pro days to try and see what their shot looks like and if he can work on it.”

Thus, even when the workouts are over and the decision time is approaching, the video continues to be evaluated. Regardless of what the statistics say, does this technique give hints of successful shooting?

“For years,” Simon said, “we sent them to our shooting coach to see what he thought about the shot. And that’s a big part of the evaluation process.”

For all the Heat’s three-point success in the regular season, 57 NBA players have scored more than Strus, 76 more than Tyler Herro, 128 more than Kyle Lowry, 146 more than Robinson, and 152 more. than Gabe Vincent.

But behind the scenes, Michael Mulder and Javonte Smart’s two-way avenues, as well as Heywood Highsmith’s development avenue, are waiting to dampen the need for a shooter.

The Heat closed the season and playoffs with an aggregate score of 32-2 on 40 percent or better three-pointers and 32-34 on their worst shot.

So when it comes to drafting, if the Heat are looking at long-range contributions, it may not be so much a question of who has a shot, but who can give the Heat the best chance.

“I’m just looking at this as someone who can help Heath,” Simon said, “be it in the near future or in the future.”

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