2022 NBA Finals Betting Tips

All odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

What you need to know about Game 6 of the NBA Finals

Steph fights: Stephen Curry missed a 3-pointer for the first time in his postseason career in Game 5 on Monday. This is unlikely to happen again, and we could even see the superhuman Steph in Game 6. The last time he failed to make three triples in a game was Game 6 of the Western Conference Finals. In his next game, he hit six threes in the first quarter of the NBA Finals earlier this month.

X – Factor: Not only does Marcus Smart lead the Celtics in scoring in the second half of this series, but he has influenced the team in other ways that should help them in this #6 deciding game. He has an assist-to-assist ratio of 3.8. in wins, more than double his losing rate (1.3) in the last month. Jason Tatum and Jaylen Brown are getting the most attention, but it’s unlikely the Finals will return to San Francisco without Smart putting a lot of effort into the Celtics.

— Kyle Soppe

Analysis of the game 6

Golden State Warriors of the Boston Celtics
9:00 pm ET, TD Garden, Boston

Line: Celtics (-4)
Money line: Celtics (-170), Warriors (+145)
General: 210 points
Predicted BPI: 222.4 points
BPI Win %: Celtics (68.8%)

Notable: Under 8-5 in Boston’s last 13 wins.

Best bet: Andrew Wiggins to 18.5 points: Andrew Wiggins was great in Game 5, but none of those stats will cash in Game 6. Wiggins scored 26 points and led the Warriors in shooting (23) because Stephen Curry had the day off. It’s hard to predict the same use in Game 6, as Wiggins’ winning potential is more limited than you might think. In this series, he played 192 minutes and converted only 13 free throws, missing 21 of 28 three-pointers. He cashed tickets in Game 5, hitting 12 of 17 from behind the three-point line, which is unlikely to happen again given the increased attention from arguably the best defense in the NBA. — Soppe

Best bet: Marcus Smart over 5.5 assists. Smart has 22 assists and just three losses in three elimination games this postseason. His usage rate is as high as it has been throughout the season and staying at home is never bad for assist counting. Smart averaged fewer shots and more assists at home than away in the regular season. — Soppe

Best bet: over 210 points. This is the lowest in the series and I believe it’s a price that represents value depending on what happened in Game 5. The Celtics and Warriors together scored a disastrous 20 out of 72 (27%) out of the 3-range points on Monday. Golden State’s 22% effort and Boston’s 34% effort were the worst long-range shooting numbers for both teams in the series. The Celtics missed 10 free throws and made just 75 shots, their fourth-highest total in 23 postseason games. Despite everything I just mentioned, we still saw 198 points. I believe better throwing scoring is on the horizon, which is why I like the idea of ​​a half-one bet. — Joe Fortenbaugh

Best bet: Stephen Curry over 28.5 points. Curry should bounce back strongly in Game 6. He finished Game 5 0-9 from three-point range. Curry has failed to hit a top three in every game since 2013. In the next game, he averaged 4.4 treys and 46% three-pointers. This includes his 13 triples against the New Orleans Pelicans in 2016. — Eric Moody

Best bet: Jason Tatum over 3.5 turnovers. This postseason, Tatum has carried the load for the Celtics on offense, but he’s also averaging 4.1 turnovers per game. Tatum had 95 playoff turnovers, surpassing LeBron James in 2018. — Moody

Best bet: Klay Thompson over 20.5, 3.5 3s. Thompson has been inconsistent in this series, but once he’s locked up, he’s unstoppable. Thompson has put in several Game 6 performances over the course of his career, with one more to come. He averaged 20.7 points per game in 12 sixth career games, shooting 44.6% from the field and 49.5% from 30.5%. Expect the Warriors to come out aggressively, with Thompson often showing off his signature smirk. — Moody

Best Bet: Jason Tatum over 41.5 points + assists + rebounds. The Celtics have lost two games in a row this postseason for the first time, one pattern that hasn’t been broken is Tatum’s big post-loss games. He broke 40.5 PAR in Game 5 and I expect him to put in even more in Game 6 than the Celtics season. — Snellings

Best bet: Marcus Smart over 15.5 points. I have been doing this for a long time and will continue to do so. Smart dropped 20 points in Game 5 and had at least 18 points in five of his last six games. In the last 14 games, he averaged 16.4 points per game. — Snellings

Best bet: Andrew Wiggins over 7.5 rebounds. Wiggins became the Warriors’ main rebounder in this series, having played 29 boards in the last two games. The Golden State were successful playing smallball, with Draymond Green or Kevon Looney on an A and Wiggins breaking a glass on a B. Wiggins has reached the pinnacle of his role and displays the incredible athleticism that made him the #1 pick in the 2014 NBA draft. I expect another big hit on the boards in game 6. — Snellings

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